﻿• 415 •:@0.839890:0.946969:0.881079:0.946969:0.881079:0.932706:0.839890:0.932706:0.005339:0.003814:0.007628:0.007628:0.007628:0.003814:0.005339
 :@0.000973:0.067670:0.005263:0.067670:0.005263:0.051624:0.000973:0.051624:0.004291
» :@0.556250:0.071740:0.569122:0.071740:0.569122:0.055694:0.556250:0.055694:0.008581:0.004291
结束语 集中民主与中华民族的伟大复兴:@0.569122:0.072126:0.869460:0.072126:0.869460:0.058778:0.569122:0.058778:0.017162:0.017162:0.017162:0.008581:0.017162:0.017162:0.017162:0.017162:0.017162:0.017162:0.017162:0.017162:0.017162:0.017162:0.017162:0.017162:0.017162:0.017162
  :@0.620609:0.073066:0.629190:0.073066:0.629190:0.057020:0.620609:0.057020:0.004291:0.004291
 :@0.869460:0.073066:0.873751:0.073066:0.873751:0.057020:0.869460:0.057020:0.004291
结束语 集中民主与中华民族的伟大复兴:@0.204955:0.186912:0.811262:0.186912:0.811262:0.159046:0.204955:0.159046:0.034324:0.034324:0.034324:0.022794:0.034324:0.034324:0.034324:0.034324:0.034324:0.034324:0.034324:0.034324:0.034324:0.034324:0.034324:0.034324:0.034324:0.034324
  :@0.307928:0.186912:0.330719:0.186912:0.330719:0.159046:0.307928:0.159046:0.011396:0.011396
当今，人类面临百年未有之大变局，世界处于十字路口，我们将向何处走？民主:@0.175676:0.235756:0.881270:0.235756:0.881270:0.219671:0.175676:0.219671:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023
将向何处走？:@0.135135:0.260546:0.255270:0.260546:0.255270:0.244462:0.135135:0.244462:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023
何谓百年未有之大变局？习主席没有具体诠释，我看国内外也是仁者见仁，智:@0.175676:0.285337:0.881070:0.285337:0.881070:0.269252:0.175676:0.269252:0.020843:0.020843:0.020843:0.020843:0.020843:0.020843:0.020843:0.020843:0.020843:0.020023:0.020843:0.020843:0.020843:0.020843:0.020843:0.020843:0.020843:0.020843:0.020843:0.020023:0.020843:0.020843:0.020843:0.020843:0.020843:0.020843:0.020843:0.020843:0.020843:0.020843:0.020843:0.020023:0.020843:0.020023
者见智。我个人是这样来理解和看待百年未有之大变局的：我认为，所谓百年是指两:@0.135135:0.310127:0.881255:0.310127:0.881255:0.294042:0.135135:0.294042:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023
个百年，前一百年和后一百年；所谓变局，也是两个，中国和美国；从表现空间上或:@0.135135:0.334917:0.880935:0.334917:0.880935:0.318833:0.135135:0.318833:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023
者说舞台，还有两个，国际和国内。前一百年，在国际上是美国主导世界秩序的一百:@0.135135:0.359708:0.881097:0.359708:0.881097:0.343623:0.135135:0.343623:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020024:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023
年，在国内是中国共产党领导中国人民浴血奋战夺取政权实现站起来到富起来的一百:@0.135135:0.384498:0.880875:0.384498:0.880875:0.368413:0.135135:0.368413:0.020023:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020023
年；而从现在开始的后一百年，即是百年未有之大变局，在国际上将是新旧秩序转换:@0.135135:0.409288:0.881255:0.409288:0.881255:0.393204:0.135135:0.393204:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023
的一百年，在国内将是中华民族从富起来到强起来的一百年。大变局有两个重要内容，:@0.135135:0.434079:0.891092:0.434079:0.891092:0.417994:0.135135:0.417994:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.017574:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.017572:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023
一个是经济格局的变化，一个是两种制度的较量，就是美式民主和中式民主的较量，:@0.135135:0.458869:0.881255:0.458869:0.881255:0.442784:0.135135:0.442784:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020023
在我认为也就是自由民主与集中民主之较量。总之，变，大变是已经到来的现实，是:@0.135135:0.483659:0.881095:0.483659:0.881095:0.467575:0.135135:0.467575:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020023
不以人的意志为转移的，也就是所谓不可逆的。大变的总趋势是：东升西降，中起美落。:@0.135135:0.508450:0.891092:0.508450:0.891092:0.492365:0.135135:0.492365:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.013792:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.013794:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.016907:0.016907:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.013792:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023
我说的这个趋势，是相对而言的（下面我还有具体说明）。:@0.135135:0.533240:0.655721:0.533240:0.655721:0.517155:0.135135:0.517155:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023
享誉世界的历史巨著《全球通史》的作者，美国加州大学历史学教授:@0.175676:0.558030:0.782187:0.558030:0.782187:0.541946:0.175676:0.541946:0.020243:0.020243:0.020243:0.020243:0.020243:0.020243:0.020243:0.020243:0.020023:0.020243:0.020243:0.020243:0.020243:0.020131:0.020243:0.020243:0.020243:0.020023:0.020243:0.020243:0.020243:0.020243:0.020243:0.020243:0.020243:0.020243:0.020243:0.020243:0.020243:0.020023
L.S:@0.787144:0.559070:0.815516:0.559070:0.815516:0.540350:0.787144:0.540350:0.012234:0.005006:0.011133
斯塔夫:@0.820582:0.558030:0.881090:0.558030:0.881090:0.541946:0.820582:0.541946:0.020243:0.020243:0.020023
里阿诺斯在这部书里说到，:@0.135135:0.582821:0.378980:0.582821:0.378980:0.566736:0.135135:0.566736:0.020383:0.020373:0.020383:0.020383:0.020383:0.020373:0.020383:0.020383:0.020373:0.020383:0.020023:0.020023
19:@0.378930:0.583861:0.398952:0.583861:0.398952:0.565140:0.378930:0.565140:0.010011:0.010011
世纪和:@0.404038:0.582821:0.464816:0.582821:0.464816:0.566736:0.404038:0.566736:0.020383:0.020373:0.020023
20:@0.469912:0.583861:0.489935:0.583861:0.489935:0.565140:0.469912:0.565140:0.010011:0.010011
世纪初叶是一个由西方享有政治、经济、文:@0.495020:0.582821:0.881165:0.582821:0.881165:0.566736:0.495020:0.566736:0.020383:0.020373:0.020383:0.020383:0.020383:0.020373:0.020383:0.020383:0.020373:0.020383:0.020383:0.020383:0.020373:0.020023:0.020383:0.020383:0.020023:0.020373:0.020023
化霸权的时代，自己这一代人是在以西方为导向的历史背景下成长起来的，也生活在:@0.135135:0.607611:0.881125:0.607611:0.881125:0.591526:0.135135:0.591526:0.020173:0.020173:0.020173:0.020183:0.020173:0.020023:0.020173:0.020173:0.020173:0.020173:0.020183:0.020173:0.020173:0.020173:0.020173:0.020173:0.020173:0.020173:0.020183:0.020173:0.020173:0.020173:0.020173:0.020173:0.020183:0.020173:0.020173:0.020173:0.020173:0.020173:0.020173:0.020023:0.020183:0.020173:0.020173:0.020173:0.020023
由西方居支配地位的世界当中:@0.135135:0.632401:0.397110:0.632401:0.397110:0.616317:0.135135:0.616317:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020023
—:@0.397473:0.632401:0.437518:0.632401:0.437518:0.616317:0.397473:0.616317:0.040045
但是，第二次世界大战和殖民地的革命结束了这种:@0.437664:0.632401:0.880964:0.632401:0.880964:0.616317:0.437664:0.616317:0.020163:0.020023:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020163:0.020023
霸权，这意味着传统的西方为导向的历史观已经不合时宜，因此，斯塔夫里阿诺斯呼:@0.135135:0.657192:0.881255:0.657192:0.881255:0.641107:0.135135:0.641107:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023
唤新世界的新史学。我可以模仿斯氏说，新世界同样呼唤新民主，新秩序，新政治！:@0.135135:0.681982:0.875969:0.681982:0.875969:0.665897:0.135135:0.665897:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023
2021:@0.175676:0.707812:0.215721:0.707812:0.215721:0.689092:0.175676:0.689092:0.010011:0.010011:0.010011:0.010011
年年末，世界开了两个标志性的、极具象征意义的、举世瞩目的民主大会，:@0.220707:0.706772:0.881092:0.706772:0.881092:0.690688:0.220707:0.690688:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.019902:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.019902:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.019904:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023
一个是:@0.135135:0.731563:0.195203:0.731563:0.195203:0.715478:0.135135:0.715478:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023
12:@0.199828:0.732603:0.219851:0.732603:0.219851:0.713882:0.199828:0.713882:0.010011:0.010011
月 日美国主办的全球“民主峰会”，一个是:@0.224476:0.731563:0.619595:0.731563:0.619595:0.715478:0.224476:0.715478:0.020023:0.019262:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.018499:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.018499:0.018499:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023
9:@0.249123:0.732603:0.259135:0.732603:0.259135:0.713882:0.249123:0.713882:0.010011
12:@0.624226:0.732603:0.644248:0.732603:0.644248:0.713882:0.624226:0.713882:0.010011:0.010011
月 日中国举办的“民主：:@0.648873:0.731563:0.886097:0.731563:0.886097:0.715478:0.648873:0.715478:0.020023:0.019262:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.018499:0.020023:0.020023:0.019260:0.020023
4:@0.673521:0.732603:0.683533:0.732603:0.683533:0.713882:0.673521:0.713882:0.010011
全人类共同价值”的国际论坛。这是一场中美之间的软实力大战和话语权的争夺战。:@0.135135:0.756353:0.881331:0.756353:0.881331:0.740268:0.135135:0.740268:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020099:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020023
美国主办的所谓“民主峰会”，把中国、俄罗斯、新加坡、越南等国家排除在外，甚:@0.135135:0.781143:0.881281:0.781143:0.881281:0.765059:0.135135:0.765059:0.020203:0.020203:0.020203:0.020203:0.020203:0.020203:0.020023:0.020203:0.020203:0.020203:0.020203:0.020111:0.020021:0.020203:0.020203:0.020203:0.020023:0.020203:0.020203:0.020203:0.020023:0.020203:0.020203:0.020203:0.020023:0.020203:0.020203:0.020203:0.020203:0.020203:0.020203:0.020203:0.020203:0.020203:0.020023:0.020203:0.020023
至没有北越盟友土耳其，中东只有伊拉克和以色列，明摆着把这些国家视为不民主，:@0.135135:0.805934:0.881255:0.805934:0.881255:0.789849:0.135135:0.789849:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020023
用自己的标准，把世界人为地分成两大阵营，公然煽动意识形态对抗，分裂世界，外:@0.135135:0.830724:0.881095:0.830724:0.881095:0.814639:0.135135:0.814639:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020023
媒纷纷批评这与民主精神背道而驰，本身就不民主。美国打死也没想到，来自:@0.135135:0.855514:0.820707:0.855514:0.820707:0.839430:0.135135:0.839430:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023
120:@0.825973:0.856554:0.856007:0.856554:0.856007:0.837834:0.825973:0.837834:0.010011:0.010011:0.010011
多:@0.861052:0.855514:0.881075:0.855514:0.881075:0.839430:0.861052:0.839430:0.020023
个国家和地区、:@0.135135:0.880305:0.275293:0.880305:0.275293:0.864220:0.135135:0.864220:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023
20:@0.275293:0.881345:0.295315:0.881345:0.295315:0.862624:0.275293:0.862624:0.010011:0.010011
多个国际组织的:@0.300341:0.880305:0.440499:0.880305:0.440499:0.864220:0.300341:0.864220:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023
500:@0.445525:0.881345:0.475558:0.881345:0.475558:0.862624:0.445525:0.862624:0.010011:0.010011:0.010011
余名嘉宾线上线下参加了中国举办的“民主：:@0.480564:0.880305:0.881015:0.880305:0.881015:0.864220:0.480564:0.864220:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023:0.020023
全人类共同价值”国际论坛，而在这个论坛上，中国式“全过程人民民主”首次登上:@0.135135:0.905095:0.881095:0.905095:0.881095:0.889010:0.135135:0.889010:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020103:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020103:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020183:0.020023