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Chapter 1 Scientific Basis of Global Climate Change


                     IV. Role of Polar Regions

                     The polar regions, including the Arctic and Antarctic, are critical components of the
                 global climate system. The formation and melting of polar ice sheets and sea ice not only
                 directly affect local climates and ecosystems but also profoundly influence global climate
                 through complex feedback mechanisms. The unique geographical locations and environ-
                 mental conditions of the polar regions make them “amplifiers” or “buffers” of global climate
                 change, and their transformations hold significant implications for the stability and future
                 trajectory of the global climate system.
                     (1) Formation and Melting of Polar Ice Sheets and Sea Ice
                     Polar ice sheets are primarily concentrated in Antarctica and Greenland, forming mas-
                 sive ice bodies compressed from millennia of accumulated snowfall. The Antarctic ice sheet
                 is Earth’s largest freshwater reservoir, with a volume sufficient to raise global sea levels by
                 approximately 60 meters. The melting of the Greenland ice sheet could lead to a sea-level
                 rise of about 7 meters. Sea ice, formed by the freezing of seawater under low-temperature
                 conditions, is mainly distributed in the Arctic region. The extent and thickness of Arctic sea
                 ice play a pivotal role in global climate.
                     The formation and melting processes of polar ice sheets and sea ice are directly influ-
                 enced by global temperature changes. As global temperatures rise, the melting rates of polar
                 ice sheets and sea ice accelerate. According to observational data, the area of Arctic sea ice
                 has significantly decreased over the past few decades, with summer sea ice coverage shrink-
                 ing to historically low levels. The melting rate of the Antarctic ice sheet is also accelerating,
                 particularly in the western regions, where the disintegration of ice shelves and the accelerat-
                 ed flow of glaciers have led to large volumes of ice entering the ocean, thereby contributing
                 to sea level rise.
                     Sea level rise not only directly impacts coastal ecosystems and human livelihoods but
                 also alters global ocean circulation patterns. For example, the North Atlantic Current is a
                 critical factor influencing Europe’s climate, and the melting of polar ice sheets and sea ice
                 could disrupt this current through freshwater influx, thereby affecting climate patterns in Eu-
                 rope and North America.
                     (II) Ice-Albedo Feedback
                     The ice-albedo effect in polar regions is one of the critical feedback mechanisms influ-
                 encing global climate change. Albedo refers to a surface’s ability to reflect solar radiation,
                 and snow/ice-covered surfaces exhibit high albedo, reflecting most solar radiation and there-
                 by reducing heat absorption by the Earth’s surface. For example, Arctic sea ice has an albedo
                 of approximately 50%-70%, while exposed seawater has an albedo of only 10%-15%.
                     However, as global temperatures rise, the melting of polar ice sheets and sea ice reduc-
                 es snow/ice coverage, exposing lower-albedo ocean or land surfaces. These surfaces absorb
                 more solar radiation, further intensifying surface temperature increases and forming a pos-
                 itive feedback loop. This feedback mechanism, termed the “ice-albedo feedback,” is one of


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